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17 Signs That You Better Start Preparing For A Nightmarish Global Food Crisis

Kansas State University U.S. Vegetation Condition 400x309 17 Signs That You Better Start Preparing For A Nightmarish Global Food Crisis

A nightmarish global food crisis is coming.  Even though about a billion people around the planet currently live on the edge of starvation, those of us that live in the wealthy western nations still have more than enough food to eat.  But it will not always be that way.  With each passing year, the global population goes up while global supplies of fresh water go down.  And you need lots of water to grow food.  The “breadbaskets” of the world, the United States and Russia, are currently experiencing horrible droughts that scientists tell us are part of a long-term trend.  In fact, some are projecting that the United States will soon see the return of Dust Bowl conditions.  So what will the rest of the world do when the topsoil in the heartland of the biggest food exporter on the globe dries up and blows away?  Just remember what happened back in 2007 and 2008.  Food prices rose rapidly and it sparked massive food riots in more than two dozen different nations.  So what will things look like when there is a very serious shortage of food around the globe?

On Thursday, the price of corn hit another brand new record high of $8.28 a bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade.

Unfortunately, the price of corn is likely to go a lot higher because this drought never seems to end.

We just came out of the hottest July ever recorded, and the drought just continues to intensify.

At this point, more than 78 percent of the entire country (excluding Alaska and Hawaii) is experiencing at least some level of drought.

24 percent of the nation is experiencing “extreme” or “exceptional drought”.  That number has risen by two percent in just the last week alone.

Things are particularly bad in the heartland of America.  More than 69 percent of Iowa is experiencing “extreme” or “exceptional drought”, more than 81 percent of Illinois is experiencing “extreme” or “exceptional drought”, and more than 91 percent of Nebraska is experiencing “extreme” or “exceptional drought”.

So what happens if we have another drought like this next year?

This year U.S. consumers won’t notice a massive difference.

Yes, prices will rise as we burn through our reserves.

If things get bad enough, eventually the U.S. will cut back on ethanol production.

But there is not going to be starvation in the United States this year.

In other areas of the world, however, people are starving.

Just check out what is happening in Yemen.

And if drought conditions persist in the United States and Russia things are going to get a lot worse.  The following is from a recent Reuters article….

The world could face a food crisis of the kind seen in 2007/08 if countries restrict exports on concerns about a drought-fuelled grain price rally, the UN’s food agency warned on Thursday, after reporting a surge in global food prices in July.

Oxfam spokesperson Colin Roche had the following to say after the latest global food price numbers were released….

“These new figures prove that the world’s food system cannot cope on crumbling foundations. The combination of rising prices and expected low reserves means the world is facing a double danger.”

So what happens if global reserves are wiped out by the drought this year, and next year we see an even worse drought?

Most people simply have no idea how incredibly vulnerable the global food system is.

The following are 17 signs that you had better start preparing for a nightmarish global food crisis….

#1 The United States exports more corn, soybeans and wheat than anyone else in the world by far.  If Dust Bowl conditions return to the United States, there may not be any food to export in future years.

#2 Since June 18th, the price of corn has risen by more than 62 percent.

#3 The American Restaurant Association is projecting that the price of corn could surpass the $9.50 mark by the end of the year.

#4 Right now, approximately half of all corn being grown in the United States is either in “poor” or “very poor” condition.

#5 2012 will be the third year in a row that the yield for corn will decline in the United States.  That has never happened before in American history.

#6 U.S. corn reserves were already near a 15 year low at the end of 2011.  The drought of 2012 is going to make things a lot worse.

#7 The U.N. index of cereal prices rose by 17 percent during July.

#8 The global price of sugar increased by 12 percent during July.  That price increase had nothing to do with the drought in the United States.

#9 In July, the FAO global food index increased by the most that we have seen in a single month since 2009.

#10 As I have written about previously, millions of fish are dying in rivers and lakes all over the United States due to the heat and the drought.

#11 Crop insurance losses are projected to shatter all-time records this year.  In fact, it is being estimated that crop insurance losses could end up exceeding 20 billion dollars.

#12 In many countries around the globe, the poor already spend up to 75 percent of their incomes on food.  Even a 10 percent rise in the price of food is enough to send many families over the edge.

#13 Approximately 1 billion people around the world go to bed hungry every single night.  So what will that number be if we have a major global food crisis?

#14 Somewhere in the world someone starves to death every 3.6 seconds, and 75 percent of those are children under the age of five.

#15 The United States is facing a long-term water problem.  For example, the Ogallala Aquifer is the most important underground water source in the United States and it is rapidly being depleted.  At one time, the Ogallala Aquifer had an average depth of approximately 240 feet. Today, the average depth of the Ogallala Aquifer is just 80 feet, and in some parts of Texas the water is totally gone.  At the moment, the Ogallala Aquifer is being drained at a rate of approximately 800 gallons per minute.  Once that water is gone, the breadbasket of America will lose the major source of water that it uses for irrigation.

#16 Sadly, the drought that we are facing this year is just part of a longer term trend.  In fact, one team of scientists recently published a study that postulated that the western United States could be facing a “100-year drought“.

#17 Some scientists are already projecting that it is already too late to avoid serious damage to crops next year.  According to a recent article in the Guardian, some believe that the drought in the U.S. has been so nightmarish this year that it is going to take a “freak event” to avoid catastrophic damage to next year’s corn crops….

What matters now is whether there will be enough rain to get next year’s crops off to a good start.

“This drought isn’t going anywhere,” he said. “The damage is already done. What you are looking for is enough moisture to avert a second year of drought,” he said.

However, Svoboda conceded that might require a freak event, especially in the mid-west which has already passed its rain season. “In the entire corn belt, from Indiana to Nebraska to the Dakotas, we have already reached the maximum precipitation periods for year. From here on in, it’s all downhill,” Svoboda said.

“As far as widespread general relief for the whole region it would take a really freakish dramatic change to make that happen. That doesn’t appear to be in the cards, given the time of year we are in.”

Are you starting to get the picture?

This drought is unlike anything the United States has seen since the Dust Bowl days of the 1930s.

This is particularly true for the western half of the nation.  The following is an extended excerpt from an absolutely outstanding article that was posted on preparednesspro.com….

A white paper I was reading recently showed Mexico as importing 80%+ of our vegetable produce. Now look at the map and see how Mexico is faring with this drought and intense heat. Needless to say this means even higher markups on our fresh foods as well. How about California? It provides over half or our fruit and nut harvests. Look at how they are faring on the Vegetation Condition map! In previous years over 48% of our corn crops went directly to the fuel industry along with another 10% going towards other corn products (some of which you’d never dream were influenced by the corn market). So in a drought condition like this, what little will there be left for our actual food needs?

Mexico is our biggest supplier of vegetables, only sharing a 2 to 1 portion of the lime light with Canada, though China does take a distant third (in dollar values, not pounds) In the fruit category, most of it comes from Central and South America, with only China (4th) to break up the Top 6 of Mexico, Chile, Costa Rica, Guatemala, and Ecuador. Hmmm…have you had a chance to see if there’s a drought problem in those countries too?  Yup, there are.

Did you know that nearly three fourths of our meat supplies come from the worst hit drought stricken areas?? Ouch! And we thought the high price of corn was going to kick  beef prices sky high? Imagine what will happen when they can’t get ANY food for their cattle.

Hopefully we will get some relief from this drought.

But what if that does not happen?

Let us hope for the best, but let us also prepare for the worst.

If you have not been preparing, you might want to get started.

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  • Paul

    There is one more issue:

    Many expats now transfer money home to their families.

    When the banking system fails, there won’t be any transfers.

    In the Philippines, where the Catholic Church vehemently opposes contraception, the population is growing fast. The biggest export of the Philippines is college graduates who can’t find a job at home and work as domestic helpers, construction workers and nurses in Singapore, Hong Kong, Taiwan, the entire Middle East, and the english speaking countries (English is second official language of the Philippines, every graduate is fluent).

    And the Philippines is also net grain importer. Rice fields have been abandoned to build houses and to grow sugar cane which could be transformed into Rum. With cheap Rice from Thailand, Rum and Condominiums were more profitable.

    The sugar cane fields sucked the soil dry of nutrients. You can’t grow rice there right now. Need to mix the rice with a fish farm, where the fishes provide the nutrients for the rice. But you need to feed the fish as well.

    And – most of the land in the Philippines is in the hand of a few families. 80% of the population is poor.

  • Paul

    “The United States exports more corn, soybeans and wheat than anyone else in the world by far.”

    With heavily subsidised food exports from the US, other countries were dicouraged to grow their own food.
    This also means, they don’t have their own varieties anymore. All seeds are now provided by Monsanto that charges high fees for their patent-protected seeds.
    Farmers that buy Monsanto seeds are not allowed to keep the harvest for next year’s seeding, or face criminal charges.
    New cereal varieties are made infertile. So the final aim is to make farmers dependent on Seed companies.

    • Jerry Lynch

      Many Monsanto crops are bio-engineered and not safe for consumption or planting. The other “patented” crops are hybrids and the reason the seeds can’t be harvested is simple biology, not patent laws. Hybrids revert to the parent varieties and so if you save the seeds you will just be planting multiple varieties with no real idea what the expected crop will be.

      What your post is trying to do is lay the blame for climate change and the resulting drought at the feet of food producers and misplaced blame, or any kind of blame is not going to alter the facts. Food prices will rise dramatically and people need to prepare themselves for shortages the best they can regardless of who or what is to blame.

      • BWeez

        Thanks for mentioning Monsanto. Nothing is being said about the fact that GMO crops are TOTALLY nonresistant to drought. See India. Natural plants that have been nurtured by years of farmers saving the best seed for planting and are more likely to live through droughts. I believe that has made our crop failure worse. Maranatha!

        • DMaurer

          Reality is that the gmo’s and other hybrid seeds cannot be propigated. If you have seeds from them, you generally cant grow them. They are made that way. But why would anyone want to plant something that is a gmo or hybrid. They are deadly to us and currently in the usa there are NO natural corn seeds here anylonger. That is a reality.

          • Jen

            Actually there are other corn seeds here. In organic farming we call them open pollinated seed. Takes more work to grow because you have to cultivate the corn for weed control not just fill up the sprayer and go to town with the round-up.

  • Weimar Wheelbarrow

    June through the first week of August we had less than an inch of rain. The past two days we have had 1⅓ inches. We are not out of the woods yet but at least reservoirs, creeks and streams can recover some moisture. I believe that all these stripmalls, subdivisions and pavement impedes the hydrologic cycle.

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  • Washington

    Man Sentenced to 30 Days for Catching Rain Water on Own Property Enters Jail By Kendra Alleyne August 8, 2012

    http://cnsnews.com/news/article/man-sentenced-30-days-catching-rain-water-own-property-enters-jail

    • Paul

      That’s the problem with capitalism, that man may own the property, but not the water that falls from the sky.

      • Susan L.

        That has NOTHING to do with capitalism, that’s the GOVERNMENT!

        • Joe

          Yep, that’s socialism for you, government control freaks!

    • HecatesMoon

      This is sad. I am sorry he is still living in one of these states, and had to pay a penalty for something that government is now starting to actually advocate. More and more states are lifting that rain collection ban as municipal water supplies are under too much strain.

    • DMaurer

      Let put another spin on this one. Because I have considered this as a viable option for my own property. With the Trailings do you REALLY want that water? its laced with Barium and other compounds. unless you have a distiller on your property, your just using poisonous water anyway. You have to purify it. That is the plan for me, to own a distiller. Just a thought.

  • RRD

    In the short term, we should see a drop in beef prices as ranchers initially sell off their cattle off to slaughter as a result of the high feed prices. Afterwards, prices should skyrocket.

  • marK

    I am going to keep my calf crop over the winter this year. Those 12 might come in handy next year. We have been blessed in south west Oregon with water in some places. Our soils are in need as the high rainfall washes out some of the needs of the plants like calcium. I can’t change the weather in the rest of the world, but I will grow food and raise live stock as long as I can.

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  • Carole

    I agree, it’s time to prepare and stock up on food storage. Wondering where to find freeze dried ground beef and chicken? We got ours at srmarketplace.com We tried several of the other companies but this is the BEST!

  • http://www.frankwoolf.com Frank

    While all this is going on other countries are having their crops wiped out by floods.

  • bob

    After reading I STILL come to the same conclusion. Mankind is NOT capable of running this world. Only our creator knows what we need. These global governments are never goung to follow gods laws so they ALL will fail. Put no trust in human government—-they all will be gone very soon

  • Angelo Napolitano

    No worries… technology is available to alleviate all the problems referred to in this article. What has not been mentioned is the evil cabal who have been in control and have subverted technology for their own gain. We need a government that will release the technologies that will free up everyone on the planet. There is not much motivation for those in control to give up their power… but the times, they are a changing.

  • A. Cain

    As frighteningly real as this is, most people won’t bother to grow any food at all. Most of us can’t afford to buy organic, so the obvious solution is for each of us to grow as much organic food as we are able to do. I am lucky enough to have a house on a medium-sized lot. My husband has torn up most of the yard and I plant more organic food every year, as I learn better techniques. Everyone can grow something. Anyone with a balcony can grow strawberries and blueberries. Even those with no access to the outdoors can grow sprouts. One square food of counter space produces a lot–alfalfa or mixed small sprouts grown in a tray on a washcloth, mung bean sprouts in a mason jar, rinsed with water every day. Fresh vegies available to all. A five-year-old can do it.

  • D. Dawson

    You forget the fact that you have to get the seeds to sprout from somewhere. If we have severe drought, less seed is produced and that means a lot less available for sprouting.