How the US Government Manipulates Inflation Data
An eye-opening guest post by Phil of Phil's Stock World
The PCE bothered me yesterday.
The Government told us that the PCE core price index for December was 0% - no inflation at all. I found that to be incredible - as in not credible at all and then Tusked asked me how long the Bernank could keep justifying his rampant money printing with fake government data, to which I responded: "I had many derogatory things to say about that but I was literally so sickened by that BS that I couldn’t bring myself to comment on it so I just left it alone but it’s a very sad joke that our government can tell us that there was no inflation in December while the whole planet is falling apart, isn’t it?"
Fortunately, there was a helpful article in the WSJ by Brett Arends that pointed out that the way the government justifies their low inflation figures is through "substitution and harmonics," a topic expert (Read More....)
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Reuters’ Emily Flitter asks in a recent column What is Plan B if China dumps its U.S. debt?
It is worth asking about U.S. officials’ Plan B just in case one day relations take a surprise turn for the worse and Beijing dumps its holdings of U.S. treasuries.
China is officially the United States’ biggest foreign creditor, with roughly $900 billion in Treasury holdings — or over $1 trillion with Hong Kong’s holdings included.
That means it could do severe damage to U.S. debt markets if it suddenly started selling large amounts.
This is not a “just in case” scenario. China has already been taking steps to curb their US Treasury purchases, lowering their U.S. debt holdings from $929 billion to $896 billion between November of 2009 and 2010 (Hong Kong’s year over year holdings are down as well). Chinese President Hu Jintao made it clear where the Chinese stand with regards to the US dollar of the future calling the current dollar-led global monetary system a “product of the past.” While this may not necessarily mean the Chinese will one day, all of a sudden, halt all purchases of US debt, it is certainly reason for concern to those hoping to maintain a strong and stable U.S. currency. Our major foreign creditor is reducing their exposure - (Read More....)
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This is a guest post from Hunter Richards of Software Advice, which provides reviews of project accounting systems and other software.
Got a teen playing Wii instead of doing homework? You might want to share this post.
Despite the tremendous benefits of information technology (IT), it comes at a human cost - the displacement of less-skilled employees. As software and systems automate an increasingly large portion of business processes, the displacement is affecting a wider set of workers. So despite an improving economy, 9.5% unemployment might last longer than many think.
Here we walk through a fairly simple story of man versus machine. It’s not a new story, but we went to the effort of pulling together and visualizing the relevant data.
Our conclusion? Drop the Wii-mote and hit the books.
IT spending has risen dramatically over the last 40 years...
IT spending has steadily risen since 1970. Trendlines and new opportunities like cloud computing suggest that the current dip in spending is only temporary.
...making us more productive...
(Read More....)
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Is Donald Trump going to run for president in 2012? Don't laugh. It just might happen. Up until now the truth is that very few people would have conceived that Donald Trump could possibly be a serious contender for the Republican nomination in 2012, but now Trump says that he is "absolutely thinking about it".
Yes, you read that correctly.
Regarding a potential run for president, on Tuesday Trump told MSNBC's "Morning Joe" the following....
"I can tell you this - for the first time in my life, I am absolutely thinking about it."
In other words, fire up the engines because Trump is ready to rumble.
Of course he is not fully committing himself yet, as he added the following caveat during the same interview....
"I don't know that I'll do it. It's probable that I won't do it. But I can tell you, I'm thinking about it."
Now Trump will probably run a bunch of polls in states with early primaries to see if his candidacy would be viable.
In fact, all of this recent speculation has been brought on by a New Hampshire poll in which voters were asked 30 questions regarding their thoughts on Donald Trump as a presidential candidate in 2012.
Trump (Read More....)
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The U.S. economy is dead on its feet and the majority of the American people don't even know it. Sure, most Americans understand that things are not going well right now, but the vast majority are still convinced that we will "fully recover" at some point. After all, we have always fully recovered and gone on to bigger and better things in the past, haven't we? Well, unfortunately this time it is different. The very foundations of our economic system are rotting. Yes, unemployment numbers will go up and down and housing numbers will go up and down and inflation will go up and down, but those are not the numbers you should be paying attention to. Instead, if you want the real truth about the U.S. economy, focus on the long-term trends that are at the root of our problems. Every single month, the United States loses jobs and economic assets. Every single month, more wealth flows out of the United States than flows into it. Every single month, the United States goes into a lot more debt. Most other economic statistics are simply symptoms of those three big problems. The truth is that the U.S. economy is bleeding, and the truth is that very few politicians in either party are doing a thing to stop it.
We were told that "globalism" and "free trade" would be so wonderful for America. What we (Read More....)
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Many of the things that Americans have been able to take for granted for decades are rapidly coming to an end. The truth is that a growing economy that produces an ever-increasing amount of good jobs for a thriving middle class is not guaranteed to last forever. In fact, there are lots of signs that the middle class in America is already being ripped to shreds. The number of Americans on long-term unemployment benefits is exploding, personal bankruptcies are setting new records, foreclosures are at an all-time high and one out of every eight Americans is now on food stamps. Meanwhile, the U.S. government is absolutely drowning in debt and America is facing a pension crisis that is so immense that it is almost indescribable. Most Americans still assume that even if we do have hard times for a while things will always turn around and eventually get better than ever. But sadly, that is just not the case. The truth is that the United States is in the early stages of a devastating economic collapse, and the "new normal" is going to be incredibly difficult for a lot of Americans to adjust to.
The New Normal: Millions Of Chronically Unemployed Americans And Not Nearly Enough Jobs For Everyone
*According to one recent survey, (Read More....)
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